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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Macron's visit to Poland to seek a stable ally focused on the Ukrainian issue. On the 12th local time, French President Macron visited Poland and held talks with Polish Prime Minister Tusk. The Ukrainian issue was the focus of discussion between the leaders of the two countries.Daiwa Securities SMBC Co., Ltd. downgraded Xinao Energy to Hold with a target price of HK$ 56.

Brazilian President Lula is in good condition after undergoing surgery again. The medical team of Brazilian President Lula said on the 12th that Lula was in good condition and "very stable" after undergoing intracranial vascular surgery on the same day, and he is expected to be discharged on the 16th or 17th. Roberto ahmed khalil, a member of the President's medical team, said at the press conference: "The operation was very successful, which is a supplement to the surgery on the 10th." He said that Lula is awake and has eaten, and his condition is very stable. He is expected to be discharged on the 16th or 17th. (Xinhua News Agency)Boeing will invest $1 billion to upgrade its infrastructure in South Carolina and recruit 500 people.Raw sugar futures fell by 1.7%, coffee C fell by more than 0.6%, and new york cocoa rose by 1.9%, which once reached a record high. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), ICE raw sugar futures fell by 1.69% and ICE white sugar futures fell by 1.29%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell by 0.64% and rose to 348.35 cents/pound on December 10, and continued to pull back. Robusta coffee futures rose 0.45%. New york cocoa futures rose 1.93% to US$ 10,781/ton, and rose to US$ 10,900 at 23:23 Beijing time, a record high after a trading day. London cocoa futures rose 2.54% to 8063, and also rose to 8680 at 23:25, a record high for three consecutive days. ICE cotton futures fell 0.14%.

Trump said that he would use aid to Ukraine as a bargaining chip to force Russia to sit at the negotiating table. US President-elect Donald Trump said that he would use US support to Ukraine as a bargaining chip to force Russia to end the conflict through negotiations.Stenn Technologies, a financial technology loan company, has collapsed and most of its employees will lose their jobs. In early December, HSBC Holdings pushed the troubled trade finance company into bankruptcy.The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will continue to send experts to Zaporoge nuclear power plant. Grossi, Director General of IAEA, issued a statement on the 12th, saying that the IAEA will continue to send experts to Zaporoge nuclear power plant in order to ensure nuclear safety and avoid nuclear accidents, even though an official IAEA vehicle was attacked by a drone while performing the task of rotating experts to Zaporoge nuclear power plant.